People are behaving very strangely with regard to COVID-19. It seems that most of the contention has political and ideological roots. Half the country is overly pessimistic while the other half is overly optimistic and the truth is nuanced somewhere in between. It also seems that people assume that everyone has the same worldview and data, so each side thinks the other side is crazy. I get disappointed in humans now and again. Let’s see if we can pull this all together in a way where both sides can agree.
COVID-19
First, let’s talk about COVID-19 a bit. A flu season is 13 weeks long. COVID-19 U.S. deaths as of Sep 28, 2020 (205,003) adjusted to a 13-week period would be 81,562 deaths.
It seems that we have more deaths with COVID-19 generally because more people are getting it than the flu because nobody was immune to COVID-19 like they partially are to the seasonal flu. We know that 99% of deaths involve other medical issues like diabetes, obesity, high blood pressure, heart and lung problems, etc. We know that T Cells are a big part of defense, and those are produced more in younger people and drop down to zero around age 65, which seems to be why the older you get, the worse COVID-19 affects you. There’s even a theory around vitamin D deficiency, making COVID-19 more severe, which could explain differences in skin color affecting COVID-19 severity. Scientists are recommending the US RDA increase vitamin D intake to reduce covid-19 hospitalizations. We also are finding that common cold infections can give some level of immunity to COVID-19.
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